Saturday, September 12, 2009

Growth Potential of Australia Market??

Public Mutual Bhd is launching a new fund, Public Australia Equity Fund (PAUEF) on 8 September 2009 to tap into the growth potential of the Australian Market. Its chief executive officer Yeoh Kim Hong said PAUEF would give investors the opportunity to capitalise on the long-term growth potential of the Australian market, given the country's strong position in natural resources and its diversified services sector.

The fund will mainly focus on sectors such as the natural resources, banking, real estate and consumer sectors. Please refer the url for more detail.

As usual, this new fund brought up some discussion among my friends at our kopitiam session ;)
Some said "well, it's potential"
Some said "i would rather invest in China Market"
Some said "how about the predicted performance?"
Some said "i am not interested in mutual fund. i am an equity guy."

Whatever category you are, let review some data. I have compiled some of market movment of Equity Indexes that included US (DJI), Australia (S&P/ASX200), Hong Kong (HSI), Singapore (STI) and Malaysia (KLSE). I hope this data could help you up ;)

DJI
-32.2% from it's peak
+46.7% since march 2009


S&P/ASX200
-32.7% from it's peak
+46.1% since march 2009


HSI
-33.1% from it's peak
+86.5% since march 2009

STI
-30% from it's peak
+84% since march 2009

KLSE
-20.3% from it's peak
+44.1% since march 2009

Despite of the rebound since march 2009, most of the equtiy market is still underperform. Which market is more attractive to you? Another risk factor to think about it when investing oversea - currency exchange. I have compiled some of the past currency exchange data for AUD, CNY, HKD, SGD and MYR. In long term, which of the following currency will appreciate?


AUD - potential to appreciate vs the peak

CNY - potential to appreciate

HKD

SGD - potential to appreciate vs the peak


MYR - potential to appreciate vs the peak









4 comments:

  1. As usual unit trust is good for long term, diversification and frequent (dollar-cost-averaging) investment. So, I think its a 'safe' investment.

    ReplyDelete
  2. base on the performance of the australia dynamic fund since launched (~3 months), it able to give ~15% return with only 60% of its NAV (max) invested in the equity, ranked top 5 among the public mutual funds. this dynamic fund is a balance fund. if you look at the fund manager name, the 2 persons who manage the australia dynamic fund, are the 2 who manage this new australia equity fund as well.
    australia equity fund is going to invest in similar way compare to the australia dynamic fund, but more aggresively (max 90% of NAV can be invested in equity), thus it should give better return during the economy downturn.
    so, is it potential? yes, of course!
    BUT how potential it is? it is all depends...
    China is a known black horse, many ppl aiming to earn big money following china boom. So, is this australia fund better or china fund better? :)
    as said, china is black horse, if he run out and take over US's status, then close eyes oso know it should give much much return compare to australia. BUT higher return normally comes together with higher risk. What if the black horse still takes years to shine? what if the black horse will have a crisis before it shine? china properties, especially at those big city, is damn expensive, although US properties crisis did help to cut down its price, but it is still expensive, will it collapse like US? who know?
    :)
    as mentioned above, the australia dynamic fund ranked top 5 since it launch, where is the china/hongkong market fund performance during these few months? below is the list:-
    Fund Name Total Return
    (%)
    1 PSA30F 16.7503
    2 PFECTF 15.9583
    3 PBADF 15.6093
    4 PSEASF 15.3926
    5 PBADBF 14.7541 --> australia dynamic
    6 PIX 14.3382
    7 PGF 13.3969
    8 PEF 13.0532
    9 PRSEC 13.0526
    10 PIF 12.9942
    11 PBAEF 12.8313
    12 PBCPEF 12.6805
    13 PBGF 12.6411
    14 PBIEF 12.5710
    15 PFEPRF 12.4196
    16 PBIASSF 12.3873
    17 PFES 12.2753 --> far east select
    18 PIOF 12.1908
    19 PFEDF 12.1268 --> far east dividen
    20 PSF 11.9913
    21 PFETIF 11.9240
    22 PIDF 11.6622
    23 PBEPEF 11.6447
    24 PBIAEF 11.5515
    25 PIOGF 11.5190
    26 PRSF 11.2400
    27 PAIF 11.2313
    28 PIADF 11.1626
    29 PIEF 11.1563
    30 PCSF 11.1492 --> china select
    31 PITTIKAL 10.9449
    32 PAGF 10.7922
    33 PDSF 10.7445
    34 PBCAEF 10.3931
    35 PSSF 10.1000
    36 PFSF 10.0735
    37 PISEF 9.7277
    38 PCTF 9.6787
    39 PBBF 8.7760
    40 PBF 8.5175
    41 PISSF 8.4689
    42 PIBF 8.3298
    43 PSMALLCAP 7.9379
    44 PBAREIF 7.1833
    45 PCIF 7.0111
    46 PISTF 6.7917
    47 PIABF 6.7773
    48 PFEBF 6.6983
    49 PGSF 6.6558
    50 PGBF 4.8338

    ReplyDelete
  3. worth diversifying to australia and NZ
    both are relatively mature economies with stable government. if i were to invest, is purely onto diversification. I'm still not familiar with their market. Except the big mining corps, australia doesn't seem to have a big famous global companies that i fancy of

    ReplyDelete
  4. I prefer equity investment

    ReplyDelete