Showing posts with label Stock. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock. Show all posts

Friday, January 1, 2010

FBM KLCI closes year up 45% year 2009. Malaysia Market Outlook for 2010?

ilearn2invest wishes everyone: Happy New Year! 2009 is now gone. 2010 has just begun. Let's hope the new year is a brighter year with plenty of opportunities and may the new year filled with peace, prosperity and happiness for all.

2009 Review:
Shares on Bursa Malaysia traded mixed on Thursday, Dec 31, the last day of trading for the year, bucking the uptrend of most regional bourses. There were few leads for investors ahead of the long weekend, especially with some bourses already closed for the year and some on shortened trading hours. Overnight, Wall Street's major indices closed flat on light volume despite positive economic data on the manufacturing sector. The Chicago purchasing manager's index rose to 60 in December from 56.1 in November, the highest since January 2006 and above expectations. Except at the opening and closing minutes, the FBM KLCI was in negative territory almost the entire day. A late surge of buying interest lifted the benchmark index up 1.7 points at 1,272.8. Market breadth was broadly mixed throughout the day, but turned positive at the close with advancing stocks beating declining ones by a three-to-two ratio. Volume rose from 586 million to 602 million shares. Lower liners made up most of the actively traded stocks, such as Linear, IRCB, SAAG, Ho Hup and KNM. Major gainers include Manulife, Rubberex and its warrants, DiGi, KPJ and Public Bank-foreign. Losers include Hai-O, MAS and MISC. Thursday's performance caps a very good year for the local stock market, and indeed global equity bourses for 2009. The year started off on a bad note as the financial crisis was in full storm following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in Sept 2008, with declines extending into March before rebounding strongly. For the year, the FBM KLCI gained a total of 396 points or 45.2% after rising from 876.8 at the start of the year and ending at 1,272.8. At its lowest point, the index fell to 838 in March. While the gains were slightly less than most regional bourses, it should be noted that the local stock market and domestic economy was also relatively more resilient during the crisis. As a comparison, key market indices in China, India, Taiwan and Indonesia surged 78% to 87% for the year. Hong Kong was up 52%, South Korea rose 50% and Singapore was up 64%, but Japan lagged the region with only a 19% gain.
 
Overview - Malaysia Sector Outlooks for 2010




Malaysia Bank Sector Outlook for 2010 - Overweight



Malaysia Energy Sector Outlook for 2010 - Marketweight




Malaysia Construction Sector Outlook for 2010 - Overweight





Malaysia Transportation Sector Outlook for 2010 - Underweight




Malaysia Information Technology Sector Outlook for 2010 - Underweight




Malaysia Telecom Sector Outlook for 2010 - Underweight





Malaysia Utilities Sector Outlook for 2010 - Marketweight



Thursday, November 26, 2009

Double Dip Recession?

Some of the investor asked me about the double dip recession few weeks ago. He said it make him worry whether should he take profit now. He told me he is holding WFC, BAC and LVS.

This is what i told him a few weeks back:
1. i am not the economist to predict double dip recession. and i do not know when is dip recession.
2. i do not like speculation, it make me very emotional and can't make my judgement properly.
3. i am looking at long term. What i understand now is DJI at around 10400 pt and there is a still huge room for appreciation vs DJI peak's at more than 14000 pt.
4. you are buying a good company like WFC which you should not worry. you should be happy to hold those good company. WFC and BAC are in my portfolio as well.

He replied, "but there is no fundamental, there will no any other stimulas package."
"If you are really not comfortable, go into analysis, sell with the trend to take profit.", i told him.

But today yahoo's new headline: Obama warns of a 'double dip' recession.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091118/ap_on_re_as/as_obama_economy

Some other new: Dubai debt fears hit world market hard.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Dubai-debt-fears-hit-world-apf-3624614071.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=2&asset=&ccode=

Dollar hits 14-year yen low amid Dubai debt fears
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Dollar-hits-14year-yen-low-apf-3450592897.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=3&asset=&ccode=

ehm.... well.... are my buy hold strategy not working for double dip recession? Frankly speaking, i do not know. But i will continue hold those stocks which are already in my portfolio. And i really happy to hold those company. Because, i know that those company are improving thier biz operation. They will get out from the trouble. The CEO is doing their job to improve thier biz.... One thing, i trust those company. American has proven in thier history for 200 years that they have the talent to improve thier country and make it better and better country.

one last thought, i would like to restate what warran buffet's qoute "Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful."

i will continue hold. how about you?